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Number of Influenza, ARI and Hospitalized Cases In The Ukraine Exceed 1 Million


The number of influenza, acute respiratory (ARI) and hospitalized cases in the Ukraine has been updated to 1,018,219 people infected. There are 14 regions which have now exceeded the epidemic threshold and 155 people have been reported dead.

The number of reports over the weekend have declined in frequency compared to numbers being reported last week, but it is unclear if this reduction in the rate of infections is due to an improving situation, fewer reports or simply further manipulation by the Ukraine government and World Health Organization (WHO) to conceal more deaths.

Lviv still has the largest numbers of cases with 155,895. The Kiev region is now up to 60,366 and when combined with the 47,802 cases in the Kiev Oblast, the Kiev city/oblast has increased to more than 100,000 cases, which is higher than any oblast, other than Lviv. The low number of deaths in this region (5) are not consistent with the amount of infections being reported.

The lack of a more detailed report on the gene sequences generated by Mill Hill in London continues to cause concern. Initial reports suggested there was no reassortment or anti-viral resistance markers identified, but reports did not exclude small changes to the virus that may have occurred. The WHO had not released any new information over the weekend.

The recent explosion of hemorrhagic pneumonia in the Ukraine has been an issue of great concern to health officials. The rapid increase in reported infections has raised speculation that the virus is transmitting more efficiently, replicating at higher levels in lung tissue, and possibly communicable while completely asymptomatic.

Meanwhile the borders that link Slovakia to Ukraine will be closing down to stop the spread of the Ukrainian epidemic. All border posts linking the two countries will be closed except one where Doctors and health officials will monitor people that pass and will be able to ban them from entering the country if they see fit.

All schools in Bulgaria will be in a flu break the whole week (Nov 9-14). Their Health Ministry is recommending limiting the number and scope of public events. The rapid spread of cases in Bulgaria raise concerns that there will be dramatic increases in deaths in the area. Spikes in deaths have already been reported in Turkey and Italy, although none have approached the numbers reported in Ukraine.


Reference Sources: fto.co.za , recombinomics.com
November 9, 2009

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