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Increase in H1N1 Cases in The Ukraine
May Suggest Deadlier Flu Wave Imminent

The number of influenza related cases in the Ukraine have dramatically risen, reversing a downturn which may represent a deadlier flu wave in that region and possibly the entire Northern Hemisphere in 2010.

The are now 2,690,563 cases of flu and acute respiratory illness (ARI) and 156,272 hospitalized in the Ukraine. Deaths have passed to 500 mark, but the above numbers show a major jump in cases, which are 143,961 higher than two days ago. Donetsk increased 16,352 to 225,476 and Dnipropetrovsk increased 15,236 to 297,971. This new wave suggests similar results will be seen in the region, setting the stage for a major peak throughout the northern hemisphere in early 2010.

In addition, media reports said that over 200 fatalities have been H1N1 lab confirmed. The fatal cases should lead to a rapid increase in additional viral sequences reported from Ukraine.

Ukraine and Norway have recently experienced an outbreak of a severe flu strain, similar to H1N1, but far more lethal. This virus has been known to cause bleeding of the lungs, and contains some similarities to the flu of 1918 - namely in the receptors to which the virus binds.

Lung hemorrhaging is being caused by the same mutation that has been reported in China, Norway, France, and the Ukraine as having a receptor binding domain of D225G. In the United States, there has been reports of fatalities in patients with hemorrhaged lungs and confirmed cases of the mutation have been found in both Illinois and Utah suggesting the upgraded viral strain is active in the U.S.


Reference Source 220, 242, 244
December 16, 2009
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