A third of the world's adult population
-- more than one billion people -- will suffer from high
blood pressure by 2025, scientists predicted.
About a billion people around
the globe were afflicted with high blood pressure or hypertension,
the most important preventable risk factor for heart disease
and stroke, in 2000.
But in the next 20 years
the number is expected to soar by about 60 percent and three-quarters
of cases will be in developing countries.
"By 2025 we project that
the number of adults with hypertension will be 1.56 billion,"
Dr Jiang He, of Tulane University School of Public Health
and Tropical Medicine in New Orleans stated.
Cardiovascular disease is
already one of the top killers in most countries and accounts
for 30 percent of all deaths worldwide.
In the first study to estimate
the total burden of hypertension in the world, the Tulane
scientists compiled published research on regional and national
figures from 1980 to 2002 to estimate the current worldwide
and future prevalence.
In 2000, 333 million adults
in developed countries and 639 million in poor nations had
hypertension. The report estimates prevalence in developing
states -- where it is set to rise by 80 percent -- will
account for most of the predicted increase.
BRUNT OF BURDEN IN POOR COUNTRIES
"More than half of hypertension
patients are living in developing countries now. By 2025
an even higher proportion will be in economically developing
countries," He, an epidemiologist, explained.
"Cardiovascular disease will
become the most serious public health challenge in developing
countries."
Latin America and the Caribbean
had particularly high prevalence of hypertension, according
to the research published in The Lancet medical journal.
During recent decades, cases
of high blood pressure have remained stable or decreased
in wealthy nations, but have risen in poor nation because
of lifestyle changes and the fact that people are living
longer.
He and his team said developing
countries consider infectious diseases as their most important
health problem and do not focus prevention efforts on chronic
illnesses.
Research has shown that reducing
weight, salt and alcohol consumption, eating more fruits
and vegetables and increasing exercise can reduce hypertension.
The researchers believe developing
countries should follow the example of wealthy nations which
have established national programs to prevent and treat
high blood pressure.
"Our study gives a serious
warning to health policy makers in developing countries
and world organizations. They have to pay serious attention
to hypertension and hypertension-related chronic diseases
such as cardiovascular disease," said He.
"They have to pay attention
now."