Temperatures are rising on Earth, which
is heating up the debate over global warming and the future
of our planet, but what may be needed most to combat global
warming is a greater focus on adapting to our changing
planet, says a team of science policy experts writing
in this week's Nature magazine.
While many consider it taboo, adaptation to global climate
change needs to be recognized as just as important as "mitigation,"
or cutting back, of greenhouse gases humans pump into Earth's
atmosphere. The science policy experts, writing in the Feb.
8, 2007 issue of Nature, say adapting to the changing climate
by building resilient societies and fostering sustainable
development would go further in securing a future for humans
on a warming planet than just cutting gas emissions.
"New ways of thinking about, talking about and acting
on climate change are necessary if a changing society
is to adapt to a changing climate," the researchers
state in "Lifting the Taboo on Adaptation."
The policy experts include Daniel Sarewitz, director
of Arizona State University's Consortium for Science,
Policy & Outcomes; Roger Pielke Jr., University of
Colorado, Boulder; Gwyn Prins, London School of Economics,
London, England, and Columbia University, New York; and
Steve Rayner of the James Martin Institute at Oxford University,
Oxford, England.
Sarewitz and his colleagues argue that the time to elevate
adaptation to the same level of attention and effort as
the more popular mitigation of greenhouse gases is now,
and that the future of the planet demands realistic actions
to help the survival of humans.
"The obsession with researching and reducing the
human effects on climate has obscured the more important
problems of how to build more resilient and sustainable
societies, especially in poor regions and countries,"
Sarewitz said.
"Adaptation has been portrayed as a sort of selling
out because it accepts that the future will be different
from the present," Sarewitz added. "Our point
is the future will be different from the present no matter
what, so to not adapt is to consign millions to death
and disruption."
Adaptation is the process by which societies prepare
for and minimize the negative effects of a variety of
future environmental stresses on society, Sarewitz said.
Mitigation is the effort to slow and reduce the negative
impacts of climate change by slowing the accumulation
of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
"The key difference is that adaptation is the process
by which societies make themselves better able to cope
with an uncertain future, whereas mitigation is an effort
to control just one aspect of that future by controlling
the behavior of the climate," Sarewitz said.
Policy discussions on climate change in the 1980s included
adaptation as an important option for society. But over
the past two decades, the idea of adapting to global environmental
changes has become problematic for those advocating emissions
reductions and was "treated with the same distaste
as the religious right reserves for sex education in schools
-- both constitute ethical compromises that will only
encourage dangerous experimentation with undesired behavior,"
the policy experts state.
Over the years, mitigation was favored as the global
response to climate change, and adaptation seemed relegated
to local responses to the specific changes brought on
by global warming. Major global efforts to cut emissions
were convened in the United Nations Framework Convention
on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and the Kyoto Protocol. In
those efforts, mitigation was talked about in the grandest
of levels and adaptation as only having a limited impact.
As a result, adaptation was often looked upon in a negative
sense, to be used if the grander plans failed. All the
while, the effects of global warming were beginning to
be felt, most notably in poorer countries and regions.
"To define adaptation as the cost of failed mitigation
is to expose millions of poor people in compromised ecosystems
to the very dangers that climate policy seeks to avoid,"
the authors state. "By contrast, defining adaptation
in terms of sustainable development, would allow a focus
both on reducing emissions and on the vulnerability of
populations to climate variability and change, rather
than tinkering at the margins of both emissions and impacts.
"By introducing sustainable development into the
framework, one is forced to consider the missed opportunities
of an international regime that for the past 15 years
or more has focused enormous intellectual, political,
diplomatic and fiscal resources on mitigation, while downplaying
adaptation by presenting it in such narrow terms so as
to be almost meaningless," they add. "Until
adaptation is institutionalized at the level of intensity
and investment at least equal to the UNFCCC and Kyoto,
climate impacts will continue to mount unabated, regardless
of even the most effective cuts in greenhouse gas emissions."