For the first time, scientists have solid evidence suggesting
exactly why the flu is so common in winter.
A new animal study suggests that the influenza virus'
success hinges on low relative humidity and cold temperatures.
Such conditions keep the virus more stable and in the air
longer than warm, humid conditions, scientists said. And apparently,
the frosty weather's role is more important than that
of the human body in helping the virus
thrive.
"We've always thought the immune system wasn't
as active during the winter, but that doesn't really seem
to be the case," said study coauthor Peter Palese, a
virologist at the Mount Sinai School of Medicine in New York
City.
When we cough or sneeze, tiny droplets of water enter the
air and hang around until they drop to the ground—or
an unsuspecting passerby breathes them in. Once inside our
airways, any flu viruses that have hitched a ride on the droplets
can launch an attack.
"We found that the flu's transmission period is
much, much longer when temperatures and humidity levels are
low," Palese stated.
He thinks that the conditions not only suck away the droplet's
water weight, allowing them to float in the air longer, but
also dry out virus-blocking mucous and cells in our airways.
Bigger viral doses combined with the body's disabled means
to flush them out, Palese said, gives the flu a better fighting
chance to infect a person, regardless of their immune system's
strength.
This correlation has been obvious, Palese acknowledged,
but solid explanations for wintertime viral success have eluded
scientists because modeling human-like disease transmission
in animals is difficult. Many animals, such as mice, fail
to transmit the viruses that make humans sick.
"The only animals that can model virus transmission
are ferrets, but they're very expensive, big and hard
to work with," he said. "They also like to bite
a lot." By reading an 88-year-old medical study, however,
Palese's team discovered that guinea pigs simulate human
coughing and sneezing extremely well.
"I never believed what my grandmother told me about
getting sick when it's cold, but it turns out she was
right," Palese said. "Guinea pigs aren't humans,
but this is some of the best evidence yet to explain the seasonality
of the flu."
Although the flu spreads primarily through the air, the
viruses can survive on doorknobs, handrails and other surfaces.
Medical experts report that frequent
hand washing, especially before meals, can lower the risk
of picking up as well as transmitting diseases such as the
flu.
