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Fighting Aids May Cost $9B

NEW YORK (AP) - The world's poorest countries will soon need $9.2 billion a year to deal with AIDS, a study concludes - $4.4 billion to treat people with the illness and $4.8 billion to prevent new infections.

Half the money will be needed in sub-Saharan Africa, according to the report in Friday's issue of the journal Science. Current spending on AIDS prevention and treatment in the 135 countries that were studied amounts to about $1.8 billion.

Worldwide, 36 million people have HIV and 15,000 more become infected daily. In the last six months, many countries, especially in Africa, have vowed to increase their dedication to fighting AIDS.

Representatives of 180 nations will meet in New York next week for a special U.N. session on AIDS. The meeting is mostly an effort to publicize the seriousness of the pandemic and appeal for financial assistance.

``This is a battle that we will be fighting for years to come,'' U.N. deputy secretary-general Louise Frechette said.

Waging such a war would require expanding prevention efforts, including education, testing and condom distribution programs. It would also require treatment for more of the infected population. Only a small fraction of people with AIDS in the most affected countries now receive the life-extending drugs and other treatments available in the developed world.

Cost is the major obstacle.

``The national governments are saying, we can't afford ourselves to give this antiretroviral therapy,'' said Laurie Bollinger of the Futures Group International, a consulting firm that contributed to the study.

In the developed world, the ``triple-drug cocktail'' that has been so effective in extending the lives of people infected with HIV costs about $3,500 each year per person. Even if price breaks drop the cost to $450 for those in the poorest countries, the researchers found that additional assistance will be needed to help pay for it.

The United Nations has proposed establishing a global AIDS fund that would help provide the money. Pledges have come in from the Bill and Melinda Gates foundation, Coca-Cola, the U.S. government and other sources.

``I would say that is very good for a fund that doesn't exist yet,'' Frechette said.

But some contributions have come from donors who have said they favor spending on prevention rather than treatment. Some experts contend that prevention is a more cost-effective means of stopping AIDS. Others consider that stance tantamount to standing by while millions die.

``If some of the donors decide they don't want to treat that's going to cause serious problems,'' said Daniel Berman, a campaign coordinator for Doctors Without Borders. ``Countries are not going to be viable if 25 percent of the population are left to die.''

Developed countries now dedicate about $1 billion a year to fighting AIDS beyond their borders.

Overall, the authors of the Science paper noted, a contribution of $4 billion to $5 billion by developed countries would represent an increase of only 7 percent to 10 percent over what they already spend on foreign development assistance. The United States sent $10 billion in foreign development aid in 1999.

On the Net:

http://www.unaids.org

http://www.cdc.gov/hiv/pubs/facts.htm

Reference Source 101

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