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World's 65+ Population Triples
Excerpt
Genaro
C. Armas, Associated Press
WASHINGTON (AP) - The number
of people age 65 and older more than tripled over the past half-century
to a record 420 million worldwide. In general, seniors are better
educated, retiring earlier and living longer.
Vast differences in quality of life exist between older people
living in the United States and Japan, for example, and those
in Malaysia, Costa Rica and other developing countries where the
biggest increases in this population are expected.
The U.S. government study being released Thursday also shows
the predicted increase will test governments' ability to address
health care, retirement benefits and other issues that affect
seniors, experts say.
``Global aging is occurring at a rate never seen before and
we will need to pay close attention to how countries respond to
the challenges and opportunities of growing older,'' said Nancy
Gordon, associate director for demographic programs at the U.S.
Census Bureau.
The 65-and-older population increased from 131 million in 1950
to 420 million in 2000, said the report from the Census Bureau
and the National Institute on Aging.
Over the 1990s, the increase was about 2 percent each year.
The one-year increase of 9.5 million between 1999 and 2000 was
unprecedented, the report said.
In the United States, the 2000 census showed about 12 percent,
or 35 million of the nation's 281.4 million people, were at least
65. That compares with 13 percent of the country's 248.7 million
people a decade ago.
By 2030, one in every five American will be 65 as the baby boom
generation ages, the study projects.
Among the other forecasts:
-Italy and Japan, at 28 percent, are predicted to have the greatest
percentage of older people.
-More than one Japanese in 10 is expected to be at least 85
in 2030.
-Southeast Asian and less developed countries are expected to
have the biggest percentage increases between now and 2030. The
65-and-over populations in Singapore, Malaysia, Colombia and Costa
Rica are expected to at least triple in size.
The findings raises important public policy questions for the
coming decades, experts said. Can countries provide adequate health
care? What kind of pension and retirement systems can retirees
expect?
``European problems are complicated by much earlier ages of
retirement and more generous pension benefits,'' said Paul Hewitt,
director of the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International
Studies' global aging initiative.
Compared to other countries' pension systems, Social Security
in the United States ``can be counted on,'' said Suzanne Paul,
of the New York-based group Global Action on Aging. ``What we
have is a dream.''
Demographers said better health care overall means people are
living longer. They are accounting for a larger percentage of
the population because the birth rate has declined in most countries,
said John Haaga, an analyst with the Population Reference Bureau,
a research organization.
Still, disparities were evident in many areas between richer
and poorer countries. While disability rates were declining among
older populations in developed countries, the study found it was
likely to increase in still developing countries.
Older people in the United States tended to be better educated
than comparable populations in most other countries, though educational
attainment is expected to improve worldwide over the coming decades.
Studies show that people with higher levels of education typically
enjoy better health and higher standards of living.
In developed countries where there are concerns that pension
or benefit funds may run out, more people will need to delay retirement
and build up savings, Hewitt said.
``In the case of the developing world, unemployment remains
the principal problem,'' he said. ``It's going to be vital that
these countries grow fast enough to support a rising retirement
burden.''
Results from the report were based on data and estimates from
the Census Bureau, the United Nations, and other international
organizations such as the European Union.
On the Net:
Census Bureau: http://www.census.gov
Reference
Source 102
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